Home teams are in CAPS. *** Is team who covered

 

PATRIOTS 38*** – Colts 24 (Pats -10.5…o/u OVER) The Pats jumped out immediately. This game was over at halftime. The Pats were up 24-3 and cruising. Brady ran for a TD and got his 500th TD pass on an incredible deep pass to Josh Gordon. Julian Edelman came back as well, and it seems like the Patriots are back. The fourth quarter was fun as four TDs were scored by the two teams. Andrew Luck was forced to throw the ball 59 times. He had 365 yards and three TDs but he did throw 2 INTs. Eric Ebron continues to be great for Indy as he had 9-105 and 2 TDs. Tom Brady was very accurate going 34-44 threw for 341 yards and also had 3 TDs. He did throw 2 picks. Sony Michel is looking good as well now that he is healthy. He had 18-98 and a TD. James White continues to catch a ton of balls and check-downs from Brady as he added 10-77 and a TD. Josh Gordon chipped in late with a big TD catch for 34 yards.

MY TAKE: The Patriots have gotten it back on the rails. Getting Julian Edelman back and the Josh Gordon trade have lit a spark. Now let’s also be honest, this was the Colts. But you still have to go out and win the games. The Colts are a coin-toss type of team. You never know what you are going to get. Andrew Luck has been good, seeing as there were worries about his arm strength. The Colts still have no running game. Luck throws the ball way too much

 

 

BILLS 13*** – Titans 12 (Titans -6…o/u 38 UNDER) For as bad as Buffalo has looked this year, somehow they are 2-3 after this win. They started the game with a Josh Allen rushing TD, and as the game went on they lost the lead amazingly as the Titans only managed to score FGs. Those FGs were enough to take a lead with about five minutes left in the game. Buffalo was able to set up Stephen Hauschka for a 46-yard game winner as time expired. If you like stats, this game did not have them. Josh Allen had only ten completions for just 82 yards and an INT. He had zero TDs. LeSean McCoy did have 85 yards, which is a lot for him these days. A season-high actually. Marcus Mariota had another mediocre game. He went 14-26 for 129 yards and an INT. He had zero TDs as well. Each team barely had 200 yards each. Tennessee did not help their cause as they had three fumbles in the game and lost two of them.

MY TAKE: This is another game that is hard to follow. It seems pretty obvious that Tennessee has problems scoring. To only be able to put up field goals in this game is embarrassing. The Titans can’t figure out their running game or which running bacl is supposed to be the number one. Marcus Mariota had another game where did not hit 200 yards. The Bills surprise again. Imagine that they would win a game where the QB has only 82 yards passing. These teams may hang around this season, but it really would be a surprise if they did anything more than that.

 

 

PANTHERS 33 – Giants 31*** (Panthers -6.5…o/u 43.5 OVER) This turned out to be one of the best games of the week. Graham Gano for Carolina went 4-4 on FGs including the game winner which was for 63 yards. Carolina also scored on a special teams touchdown when they recovered a muffed punt in the end zone as it went off Odell Beckham’s leg while he decided to block instead of fielding the punt. Beckham did have a great trick play where he threw a 57-yard TD pass to Saquon Barkley. Barkley is truly having an awesome season and really is the Giants only bright light. Eli had 326 yards with 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Saquon Barkley had TDs receiving and had a combined 129 yards. Odell Beckham Jr. finally had a game. Other than the passing TD to Barkley, he had 8-131 and a TD. Cam Newton had 237 yards and 2 TDs and 2 INTs. There wasn’t much else in the way of stats. It is hard to believe that the Giants lost this game based on the big plays that they had in this game. Imagine getting losing based on field goals. One reason the Giants may have lost is that they could not make a third down conversion as they went 0-7. They did have three turnovers in the game.

MY TAKE: Man, the poor Giants. They are having such a terrible season. The bickering is starting with Odell Beckham about the offense and Eli Manning. But this time the offense showed up. It was the defense that was a letdown. As well as the special teams screw up by Beckham. To give up a walk-off FG is a heartbreaker. The only silver lining for the Giants has been Saquon Barkley. He is clearly the rookie of the year to this point. The Panthers win an NFC game to stay as on of the only zero and one-loss teams in the NFL. You would be surprised how few there are.

 

BENGALS 27*** – Dolphins 17 (Bengals -6…o/u 47.5 UNDER) Miami completely blew this game. In a major way. You can actually hang this game on Ryan Tannehill. If you can believe it, the Bengals scored 27 unanswered points from the 3rd quarter on to win this game. It was absolutely incredible. The Bengals returned an INT to tie the game as well as the winning TD that was scored on a fumble recovery. The Bengals have made a habit of winning games with late turnovers. The fins jumped out 17-0. One of those TDs was a Jakeem Grant 71 yard punt return TD. Tannehill had 185 yards and a TD with 2 INTs. Dalton had 248 yards and had 1 TD and 1 INT. Kenny Stills was a no-show going 2-17. Joe Mixon for the Bengals came back and had 22-93 yards. He did have a receiving TD. AJ Green went 6-112. Three turnovers did the Fins in.

MY TAKE: Well, what a tale of two seasons for the Dolphins. They looked so good going 3-0. Now they have dropped two in a row. Getting blown out and now blowing a huge lead late in a game. This game can fall square on the shoulders of Tannehill. But the offensive line didn’t help him either. The Fins can’t run the ball. Kenyan Drake barely gets ten carries. Thank God for Frank Gore. The Bengals are now 4-1 and rolling. Dalton has looked great this year and had a Pro Bowl shot. Joe Mixon is starting to really pan out as well. The Fins play the Bears next and thank should be very scary. The Bengals get a division monster against the Steelers next.

 

 

BROWNS 12*** – Ravens 9 (Ravens -3…o/u 44.5 UNDER) The Browns won the game in the last seconds of overtime in Baltimore. Amazingly, there was only one TD scored in this game. This was impressive as it was a road division game. This is the Browns third overtime game in five weeks. If Cleveland’s kicker made his kicks in New Orleans and they didn’t get hosed against Oakland they are unbeaten to this point (they tied Pittsburgh). The team stats in this game were almost identical. The big difference was the five sacks for Baltimore. The Ravens did also fumble twice and turn it over. Flacco had just under 300 yards (298), but it took 56 throws to do so. He had one INT and no TDs. Not much in the run game or any wide receiver that did anything worth mentioning. Baker Mayfield had a much bigger day. He had 342 yards with one TD and one INT. Carlos Hyde did his normal 17-63. Nothing flashy. Just grind out yards. Mayfield completed balls to nine different players. Jarvis Landry managed only 5-69 on ten targets. For a team that won the game, the Browns gave up five sacks, had nine punts, and had ten penalties.

MY TAKE: The Browns defense has been stingy this season. They showed it again in this game. Keep in mind that the Browns would not even have a loss if their kicker made kicks against New Orleans, and didn’t royally screw up against a bad Oakland team. This game was a big game in showing that they belong in the division. Beating a tough Ravens team was a surprise. But the Browns have been a surprise to many.

 

 

LIONS 31*** – Packers 23 (Lions -1…o/u 50 OVER) Just when you thought the Lions were done and Green Bay was gonna stick another fork in them, comes this game. Somehow the Lions were favorites by a point. This game was all but over by halftime as the Lions went up 24-0. In the first quarter, the Lions (LeGarrette Blount) punched in two one-yard TDs. They closed out the half with a Marvin Jones TD from Matt Stafford. Green Bay tried their hardest to get back in the game with two TDs in the third holding the Lions to zero in the third. The two teams traded TDs in the 4th quarter, with the Pack adding a FG at the end of the game. It was all just too little too late. In the losing effort, Aaron Rodgers had a massive 442 yards with 3 TDs and 0 INTs. Matt Stafford had 183 yards with 2 TDs and 0 INTs. Not much added in the running game for either team, but the Lions had the edge there in this game. Davante Adams had a big day going 9-140 and a TD. Kenny Golladay had the game for Detroit going 4-98 and a TD. In the loss, the Pack had 30 first downs to Detroit’s 18. The Pack had double the total yards that Detroit had. The Pack also did not punt in this game. Maybe they lost because they had three fumbles (they lost all three), and they racked up 12 penalties.

MY TAKE: Go figure Green Bay out. It really is hard to do it. They have gone win-tie-loss-win-and now a loss. Maybe the 12 penalties and three fumbles lost have something to do with it. The Pack seems like a looked over possible sleeper in the NFC, but damn it is hard to say. Now they are right in line with Detroit at the bottom of the NFC North. The Lions are the same story. You just never know what your gonna get from them.

 

 

CHIEFS 30*** – Jags 14 (Chiefs -3…o/u 48 UNDER) What a lopsided game. The Chiefs just keep doing what they have all season. That is score points. They also played defense too. How about five turnovers? They also got a pick-six off of Bortles. Bortles was forced to throw sixty-one times! He did have 430 yards, but he was sacked five times. As stated he had four picks. He did run for a TD. Pat Mahomes had another 313 yards. But for a team that put up 30 points, he had 0 TDs and threw his first two picks of the season. They established a run with Kareem Hunt who went 22-87 with a TD. Travis Kelce added a 5-100 yard day. After opening a 20-0 lead at the half, they added a FG to 23-0. The Jags got on the board, but it was too little too late.

MY TAKE: Oh no, look at the Jags now. For a team that had Super Bowl dreams, they don’t look quite the same right now. Way too much relying on Bortles. Are they missing Fournette that badly? It does seem so. Now the Chiefs are good. And they have an incredible offense. But you are supposed to play better in this game. The Chiefs are cruising. The offense is on fire. They have every reason to feel that they can challenge for the Super Bowl.

 

 

JETS 34*** – Broncos 16 (Jets -1…o/u 42 OVER) The Jets literally ran all over the Broncos. And I mean ran all over them. To the tune of 323 yards on the ground, the second most in team history. Specifically, Isaiah Crowell. He had a franchise record 219 yards including a huge 77-yard TD. The Jets snapped a three-game losing streak. After the first quarter, Denver was actually up 7-0. To start the second quarter, Crowell busted the 77 yarder, and then Darnold hit Robby Anderson for 76 yards on a TD. Anderson added another TD and the half finished at 21-10 Jets. In the 3rd the Jets added a FG. They even outscored Denver in the 4th quarter. For Denver, Case Keenum threw 51 times for 377 yards and 2 TDs. He did have a pick. Demaryius Thomas showed life going 5-105 and a TD. Sam Darnold only had 10 completions but three of them were for TDs. They did have Crowell and Powell combine for 35 carries for 318 yards. Robby Anderson had a sick line with only three catches. They were for 123 yards and 2 TDs.

MY TAKE: Let’s try to figure the Jets out. Huge Lions win to start the season. Then they drop back to back games. And then they throw up another 30+ against a good defense. When the Jets can run, you are in trouble. They may have the best one-two RB situation in football.  If they run they win. The Broncos are now 2-4. Imagine that they started out 2-0, albeit against Seattle and Oakland. Then they lose three in a row including this game. The defense has folded, giving up 27, 27 & 34. Denver is another one of those teams that you just never know what you are going to get, honestly.

 

 

STEELERS 41*** – Falcons 17 (Steelers -3.5…o/u 57 OVER) For a half, this was a close game. Pittsburgh jumped out to a 13-0 lead only to have it 13-10 at the half. They outscored the Falcons 28-7 in the second half. Big Ben went 19-29 for 250 yards. He had 3 TDs and 1 INT. James Conner had another game showing they don’t need LeVeon Bell. He had 21-110 and 2 TDs. He also had 4-75 receiving. Antonio Brown had a big game going 6-101 yards and for 2 TDs. Matt Ryan, on the other hand, had a mediocre 26-38 for 285 yards. He had 1 TD and 0 INTs. Julio Jones had 5-62 and 0 TDs.

MY TAKE: Welcome back Steelers. You actually want to save your season. And this is exactly how you do that. You beat the hell out of a good opponent. Now we knew that both of these teams have very high powered offenses, as well as very poor defenses. But for Atlanta to only put up 17 points, well that won’t cut it when you give up 40+. James Conner continues to steal the job. Julio Jones does not score a TD….again! Antonio Brown showed up too. Atlanta’s season is starting to become a horror show. Way too much talent for this record.

 

 

CHARGERS 26*** – Raiders 10 (Chargers -5.5…o/u 51.5 UNDER) The Chargers closed out the 2nd half with TDs at the four-minute mark and the 1:30 mark. They led 17-3 and that was enough. They never gave up the lead. Rivers was a remarkable 22-27 for 339 yards and 2 TDs and 0 INT. Melvin Gordon had a combined 120 yards and a TD. David Carr for the Raiders had 268 yards 1 TD and 1 INT. Marshawn Lynch had a terrible 9-31 yards.

MY TAKE: The Raiders are garbage. They are now easily one of the worst teams in football and perhaps the biggest disappointment. The Chargers are the opposite. They are playing tough and Melvin Gordon has been a stud this year. The Chargers are poised to be a serious playoff contender. 

 

 

EAGLES 21 – Vikings 23*** (Eagles -3.5…o/u 48.5 UNDER) Minnesota took a 17-3 lead at halftime. One of the TDs scored was a defensive fumble return TD. The two teams traded FGs in the 3rd. The 4th quarter it was too little too late as the Eagles added two TDs. The stats were pretty even. There were four fumbles in the game. The Eagles lost two and the Vikings lost one. Kirk Cousins had a great day going 30-37 for 301 yards. He had a TD and 0 INTs. Adam Thielen had 7-116 yards and a TD and Stefon Diggs had 10-91 yards. Carson Wentz started to come back to life. He had 311 yards on 24-35. He had 2 TDs and 0 INTs. Zach Ertz had a big game going 10-110 yards with a TD.

MY TAKE: Good close game. The Vikings probably have more talent. Philly made it a game. Carson Wentz is starting to get his feet under him. The Vikings just have an offense that is tough to stop. Both of these teams should be in the playoff hunt. I can’t say they will win their divisions because their divisions are very hard to win as they are very competitive this season.

 

 

49ERS 18 – Cardinals 28*** (49ers -3…o/u 40.5 OVER) San Fran opened the game with the first TD. They missed the extra point like most teams are doing every game. The Cardinals scored two TDs to close the half up 14-6. One of those TDs was a 75 yard TD on the first snap of the game that Arizona took, to Christian Kirk from Josh Rosen. The third quarter saw no scoring. There were four TDs scored in the fourth quarter between the two teams. How San Fran lost this game makes no sense, except that turnovers will kill you. They killed San Francisco. They had 33 first downs to Arizona’s 10. They went 10-17 on third downs, while Arizona went 2-12. The total yards were 447 to 220. Arizona did have four sacks and did get 2 INTs. San Fran also fumbled FOUR TIMES and LOST THREE of them. The 49ers had a whopping 40 minutes Time of Possession to Arizona’s 20 minutes. Josh Rosen had 170 yards with a TD. David Johnson went 18-55 yards with 2 TDs. Sadly, Larry Fitzgerald continues to not matter and put up a lame 2-35 yards. CJ Beathard went nuts for San Fran throwing 54 times. He did have 349 yards with 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Greg Kittle continues to impress. He had 5-83 yards.

MY TAKE: The 49ers really have no season any longer since Garoppolo went down. Even with him, this team was marginally talented. The Cards I felt were worse, but they do have more talent. Josh Rosen is coming together the best he can. Neither team is going anywhere. They will just play out this season.

 

SEAHAWKS 31*** – Rams 33 (Rams -7.5…o/u 50.5 OVER) This game was a case of tit-for tat. Seattle scored first. The Rams matched them with a Todd Gurley TD to tie. In the second quarter, each team had a field goal and a TD. In the 3rd quarter the Seahawks took the lead by scoring two David Moore from Russell Wilson TDs to the Rams one TD on a Todd Gurley run. The fourth quarter was the dagger as the Rams added on another Todd Gurley TD and a FG. The Rams had 30 first downs and 468 yards. Jared Goff had another big day. He went 23-32 for 321 yards. He had a TD but did have 2 INTs. Todd Gurley went 22-77 with 3 TDs. Russell Wilson played well too. He had 13 completions that led to 198 yards and three TDs. Chris Carson had a good game. He went 19-116 with 0 TDs. Tyler Lockett had 3-98 yards with a TD. Little know David Moore had 2 TDs.

MY TAKE: Give the Seahawks credit. They stayed in a game that they really shouldn’t have. Scoring 30+ against the Rams defense is pretty pretty good. But it just wasn’t enough. Moral victory, sure, why not. Hopefully, for them, they can take that and use it later on. As for the Rams, another win and still undefeated. They scored 30+ again, and it really looks like nobody can stop this juggernaut. Rams are Super Bowl or bust. They know this. Do you?

 

TEXANS 19 – Cowboys 16*** (Texans -3.5 o/u 45.5 UNDER) The Cowboys started the game with two FGs in the first quarter. The Texans answered back with a TD to start the 2nd quarter and then added a FG as well. This gave them a 10-6 lead. In the third quarter, Dallas scored a TD and Houston answered with a FG which made the game a tie going into the fourth. Both teams only added FGs in the 4th and the game went into overtime. The game ended with a Houston FG by Ka’imi Fairbairn. Houston had 25 first downs to the Cowboys 14. The big difference was in the passing game. Dak Prescott threw for 208 yards and a TD with 2 INTs. Deshaun Watson had 375 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. DeAndre Hopkins had 9-151 yards. Nobody else had any stats worth mentioning.

MY TAKE: Two teams that I also include in the coin toss mode. You just have no idea what they are gonna do week to week. In this lone-star shootout, you had a good close game, albeit little offense. Deshaun Watson is starting to heat up. Dak Prescott is not. If Prescott is gonna throw two INTs, this team is going to lose. They only win, because he usually never does that. Personally, if I had to pick one of these squads to heat up, it would be Houston. We shall see. Both are still alive in their divisions, as their divisions have no front-runner or basement dweller.

 

 

SAINTS 43*** – Redskins 19 (Saints -5.5…o/u 51.5 OVER) This game was all New Orleans. They led 26-13 at the half. Mark Ingram ran for 2 TDs in the first half. Drew Brees threw for 2 TDs in the first half. One of those TDs was the one that made him the NFL leader all-time in passing yards. The Saints added two TDs in the third quarter to bury this game. Brees finished this with an absolutely amazing line. He had a super accurate 26-29 for 363 yards with 3 TDs and 0 INTs. Mark Ingram had 16-53 yards with 2 TDs. Alvin Kamara was a ghost in Ingram’s first game back. He went 6-24 yards rushing and only 3-15 receiving. Adrian Peterson had a miserable 4-6 yards.

MY TAKE: Saints on a historical night are a no-brainer. Washington shows up when they want. Coin toss team. They didn’t show up in this game. Well, their defense really did not. Drew Brees is simply amazing, and as long as he suits up, this team always has a shot. They lead their division and really should win it…..again. Washington is still alive in their division because it is weak.

 

Bye Week: Bears, Bucs

 

ATS 8-7…..Over/Under 8-7

YTD ATS 35-41-2…..Over/Under 42-36